Trusted local news leader for Kingman, Arizona & Mohave County
Tue, Nov. 19

Skies to cloud, temperature to drop and rain, how much?

Weather experts say rain should arrive in Kingman tonight, but they disagree on how much and how long it will stay.

"The National Climate Prediction Center (in Silver Spring, Md.) is calling for above normal temperatures all the way into the summer," said Randy Cerveny, professor of geography at Arizona State University.

"But I'm not buying it because the next week and a half is going to be cloudy and rainy, so you'll be above normal in precipitation and below normal in temperatures.

A series of storms has lined up in the Pacific and the storm track has shifted to take them into northern Arizona."

Meteorologist Charlie Schlott with the National Weather Service in Las Vegas said a Pacific storm system is moving southeast and likely will bring rain to Kingman tonight and Thursday.

The system may drop about one-fourth an inch of rain, he added.

"It should move off quickly to the east," Schlott said.

"Temperatures will be a little cooler over the next few days with daytime highs in the 50s.

"Anything following that system may cause some cloudiness, but we don't foresee much chance of rain."

Cerveny was asked how much rain might fall in the Kingman area from the approaching storm system.

"That's the $64,000 question with the amount depending on whether the system is able to tap into Pacific moisture," Cerveny said.

"The models now say it will, so northern Arizona may get three-quarters to an inch of rain in some places with the Snowbowl (in Flagstaff) getting quite a bit of snow.

"To get significant rain the storm must come down at the same time air flow is pulling moisture in, so timing is everything.

If the timing is too early, California gets it and if it's too late, New Mexico gets the rain."

The series of storms moving toward California should lead to cloudy nights, which means overnight temperatures will stay up, Cerveny said.

Kingman was close to normal temperature last month with an average daily maximum of 55.2 degrees and an average daily minimum of 31.

Normal averages for January are 54.2 and 31.4.

However, normal January precipitation for Kingman is 1.28 inches.

Last month, just 0.13 inch fell, all on Jan.

3.

Average daily maximum and minimum temperatures in Kingman are 59.5 and 35.1 in February, 62.9 and 38.1 for March, and 71.3 and 44.4 in April.

Precipitation amounts for those months in average years is 1.07 inches for February, 1.39 inches in March, and 0.46 inch for April.

Schlott said Kingman temperatures should remain slightly above normal for the next 90 days.

Cerveny said the area should receive near normal precipitation amounts during the next 90 days.

"Wintertime rain and snow is always better than what falls in the summer, so it's going to help," Cerveny said.

"But Mohave County remains classified as in severe drought on the Palmer Index, which is a measure of water locked up in the soil for agricultural purposes."

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