First chunk of Prop 123 money released
PHOENIX - The state Investment Board voted unanimously Tuesday to distribute more than $190 million to schools in the first payment for Proposition 123 by Thursday, despite continued arguments by state Treasurer Jeff DeWit that the funding - and even the election that approved it - is illegal.
DeWit said his analysis shows the state will be paying out more than it currently earns on the nearly $5.3 billion permanent trust. That, he said, means digging into the principal, something he continues to contend cannot be done without congressional approval no matter what Arizona voters said.
He said someone needs to sue over that.
Actually, someone did.
But Michael Pierce, who is representing himself, conceded to Capitol Media Services he did not craft the legal challenge carefully enough to block Tuesday's vote to start distributing the extra money to schools.
Pierce, however, said he intends to continue his lawsuit in hopes of eventually getting a federal judge to declare the measure illegal. He acknowledged, though, it remains a long shot for any individual to overturn the measure championed by Gov. Doug Ducey and backed by a broad coalition of education and business interests.
"I'm not Jimmy Stewart and this isn't a Frank Capra film,' Pierce said, a reference to the 1939 film "Mr. Smith Goes to Washington' about a common man battling the powers that be in Congress.
DeWit said Tuesday that even if a legal challenge fails, the teachers who agreed to support the measure for a quick infusion of cash are going to be sorry in the long run.
Taking more out of the fund than it has historically earned, he said, will create a huge "fiscal cliff' when the extra money runs out in 2025, a move he said could cost schools - and teachers - dearly.
And while Gov. Doug Ducey has promised Proposition 123 was just a "first step' in education funding, the only action to date has been to convene a meeting of education interests to figure out what comes next, both financially and otherwise.
Despite the legal questions and misgivings, DeWit joined with other board members Tuesday to approve the distribution. The treasurer cited the legal opinion by state Solicitor General John Lopez that the law and constitutional change approved by voters is presumed valid and that DeWit is legally bound to follow it.
Proposition 123 is designed to provide an additional $3.5 billion to schools over the next decade, with $2.2 billion of that coming from increasing the amount of money withdrawn annually from the state's endowment trust fund. That consists of proceeds from the sale of lands given to Arizona by the federal government when it became a state.
Not all bad
The good news out of Tuesday's meeting is that DeWit's staffers, anticipating the distribution, began selling off assets ahead of time. More to the point, he said, they made the sales before the vote in Great Britain to exit the European Union, a move that sent stock prices tumbling.
DeWit said the early maneuver produced $5 million more than had the equities and bonds been sold Tuesday.
But DeWit said Arizona is still behind the curve.
He said the historical return on the endowment fund, going back to 1999, is less than 6.1 percent. But Proposition 123 requires that 6.9 percent be withdrawn every year for the coming decade.
"Therefore, we are going to go backwards,' he said. "This is one of the things we've been warning about. We are, by many readings, violating the terms of the trust by paying out more than we make.'
And he said the situation will be even worse if "Brexit" and other factors cause further decline in the market.
With the ballot measure a fait accompli - assuming the legal challenge goes nowhere - DeWit said he is now turning his attention to ways to minimize the hit to the trust fund account.
The key, he said, is finding ways to earn more on the money in the account. But DeWit said that would require a change in the Arizona Constitution, which limits the risk state treasurers and the investment board can take with the dollars.
Board member Harry Papp, who is a private investment adviser, said there actually is some flexibility.
He said the state is allowed to put up to 60 percent of holdings in equities, meaning stocks. Right now, Papp said, the state is at about 52 percent.
"We could bump that up a little higher,' he said, without asking voters to alter the state constitution.
"But there is risk with that as well,' Papp conceded, versus fixed returns on investments such as treasury notes and corporate bonds, "something we'd have to talk about.'